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Gambling, Raffle, Lotto & Sweepstake

 

NFL Betting, According To Roxy

Football returned to gridirons, TV screens and sports books recently, and while the game surely was a welcome sight for bored eyes, bulging wallets, beer distributors and casino spread sheets, there also is a widely held perception that when it comes to NFL betting, gamblers hold an edge over bookmakers early in the season.

Roxy Roxborough, the founder of Las Vegas Sports Consultants and the man who revolutionized sports wagering by using mathematical formulas and computer...

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Football returned to gridirons, TV screens and sports books recently, and while the game surely was a welcome sight for bored eyes, bulging wallets, beer distributors and casino spread sheets, there also is a widely held perception that when it comes to NFL betting, gamblers hold an edge over bookmakers early in the season.

Roxy Roxborough, the founder of Las Vegas Sports Consultants and the man who revolutionized sports wagering by using mathematical formulas and computer models to help compute accurate odds, disagrees with that notion.

"For years it's been said that oddsmakers are more vulnerable earlier in the year because the teams are new, but I don't buy it," said Roxborough, now retired. "Oddsmakers work with the same information as the bettors. Sometimes it's just a matter of interpretation. In the case of NFL betting, you often have teams with new coaches and--because of trades, free agency or injuries--new quarterbacks. You don't learn a lot in the exhibition season and that's basically because teams try to limit the playing time of their significant players because they're worried about them getting hurt. So you really have to start making assessments based on projections rather than past performances. But I think the oddsmakers and the players are in the same spot. I don't believe there is any inherent edge early in the NFL betting season. Sometimes people just pick winners. That's important to remember. Technically, the pointspread makes each game a 50/50 proposition so there are going to be times when players pick more winners than losers."

The early portion of the NFL betting season is no more stressful than any other segment of the season, insisted Roxborough.

"I don't think there's pressure on any particular game or any particular week but I think there is pressure over the long haul to produce," he said. "Oddsmakers shouldn't measure their work after a week or after a month. It's better to assess it in terms of the entire season."

Nevertheless, the tendency is for both NFL bet takers and NFL bet makers to take stock every Tuesday morning. Interestingly, Roxborough says that winning or losing over a 7-day period usually is determined by the results of only a handful of games.

"Generally, when wiseguys and squares clash, when they wind up on opposite sides of a game, it's because the public has pushed the favorite too high and the sharps, who perceive some value, buy back the underdog," explained Roxborough, who literally wrote the book (Race and Sports Book Management) on the topic. "That often helps balance the line. But there are games each week where the public and the squares wind up on the same side and those games are the biggest decisions.

"If I can break down a typical 14 or 15-game NFL weekend, there are usually four or five games where there's not much of a decision," explained Roxborough, who founded LVSC on his kitchen table in 1982. "For some reason, those game aren't particularly attractive, be it the matchup or that people don't see any edge in the number. Those games don't move. Then there are four or five games where the NFL betting action is split, where there's good two-way action. And then there are a handful of games--let's say four--where most of the action is on one team, where the betting is very one-sided. It all comes down to those one-sided games. If the bookmaker splits them, because of the vigorish, he does fine. If he goes 3-1, he does great; if he goes 4-0, he does absolutely fantastic; if he goes 1-3, that's not so good; if he goes 0-4, that's a disaster."

Although any new season offers fresh hope for the bettor, Roxborough, who was a professional gambler for five years before launching his oddsmaking company, pointed out that few professional players earn their living betting football.

"If I were still a professional gambler I wouldn't play NFL football," revealed Roxborough. "For starters, there aren't enough games. So trend analysis, which was one thing I was big on, is pointless. Second, you can't turn your money over fast enough to get a reasonable rate of return because you only get to choose from 13-16 games a week and each team only plays 16 games. I just never saw NFL betting as being a viable opportunity. That's why most sports betting pros end up wagering on what they call linear sports, sports such as baseball and pro basketball."

 

NFL Football (Browns Dealt Cruel Blow)

July 28, 2006 (Cleveland, Ohio) – This city was once dubbed “the mistake by the lake” and they have done a heck of a job trying to change the impression that visitors like myself get when we visit this blue collar city.

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July 28, 2006 (Cleveland, Ohio) – This city was once dubbed “the mistake by the lake” and they have done a heck of a job trying to change the impression that visitors like myself get when we visit this blue collar city. The Cleveland Indians have played some inspired baseball the past few years. King James rules the throne in basketball with the Cavaliers and the Cleveland Browns, with their rich traditions, have made some great moves during the offseason.

I was looking forward to seeing the new additions to coach Romeo Cremmel’s stable yesterday as this is year two in his regime and optimism reigns supreme at the training headquarters in Berea, Ohio. That was until Thursday morning when the Brownies were conducting their first 11-on-11 drills and their most prized acquisition, All-Pro Center LeCharles Bentley, went down on an innocent running play. Whether it be NFL or College Football, the number one criteria for a winning team is a strong and healthy offensive line. The center is arguably next to a talented quarterback, the most important component in this unit.

He calls all the blocking assignments and every play begins with him huddling up the team and then commencing it with the snap of the ball. A Cleveland native, Bentley spent his first four years with the New Orleans Saints. He started at right guard in his first two seasons and was voted to the Pro Bowl in 2003. The following year, Bentley moved to center and earned his second Pro Bowl selection in 2005.

The Browns forked over $36 million in the offseason to sign him to a 6-year deal and now he will miss the entire year with a torn patella tendon. Bentley's injury is the latest for a Browns team beset by serious medical setbacks -- No. 1 overall picks Courtney Brown and quarterback Tim Couch had several major injuries -- since the club returned to the league as an expansion team in 1999.

On Thursday, tight end Kellen Winslow had his first contact after missing the past two seasons with major leg injuries. The Browns also are without wide receiver Braylon Edwards, their first-round pick in 2005, who is expected to be out until Oct. 1 following knee surgery.

While I realize that injuries are a big part of the world of football and playoff bound teams must overcome adversity, the Browns are done in 2006. With a young second year quarterback in Charlie Frye still learning on the job, this is one security blanket he desperately needed.

The good news for Ohio fans is that they still have the Ohio State Buckeyes to cheer for!

Bob Acton

<a href="http://www.sportsbook.com">Online Sports Betting</a>

 

NFL Football Betting For Newbies, from Bullseye-Sports.com

Bullseye-Sports.com's Dwayne Bryant explains the NFL point spreads and how they factor into NFL football betting. Great for beginners.

online nfl football betting

<b>NFL football betting</b> is by far the most popular area of the gaming industry. The purpose of this article is to familiarize the new bettor with the different aspects of <i>NFL football betting</i>. With that in mind, we’ll stick with the basic elements you’ll need to know.
<br>
Normally, when betting against a point spread, you bet $110 to win $100. This is shown as - 110. The extra $10 is known as the “vig” or the “juice”. There are sports books out there that offer specials, such as “reduced juice” (- 105, for example). – 105 would mean that you’d be betting only $105 to win $100.
<br>
<i>NFL football betting</i> involves a betting line, also known as a point spread. For example, let’s say Miami is playing against Buffalo. Miami is listed as – 7, which means Miami is the favorite. Buffalo would then be listed as + 7, which makes them the underdog. If you place a bet on Miami at – 7, then Miami must win the game by more than seven points in order for you to win your bet. If you place a bet on Buffalo at + 7, then Buffalo must either win the game or lose by less than seven points in order for you to win your bet. If Miami wins by exactly seven points, then the game is a “push” or “no action” and everyone who wagered on one of the teams gets back their original wager amount.
<br>
You can certainly see where there would be much more opportunity to win by betting on Buffalo, since they don’t even have to win the game in order for you to win your wager. If you bet on Miami, on the other hand, they could win the game and you could still lose your wager if they do not win by more than seven. This is why many <i>NFL football betting</i> experts wager on nothing but underdogs.
<br>
You may also see a Total listed for the game. For this example, let’s say there is a Total listed at 43. The total is the number of combined points scored by both teams in the game. If you think the two teams will combine to score more than the posted total of 43, then you would wager “Over the Total”. If you think the two teams will combine to score less than the posted total of 43, then you would wager “Under the Total”. If the total score ends up being exactly 43, then the total is a “push” or “no action” and everyone who wagered on the total gets back their original wager amount.
<br>
For this example, let’s say Miami won the game, 27 – 17. If you placed a bet on Miami at – 7, you’d subtract seven points from Miami’s score, making it Miami 20, Buffalo 17. If you placed a bet on Buffalo at + 7, you’d add seven points to Buffalo’s score, making it Miami 27, Buffalo 24. Either way, anyone who wagered on Miami won and anyone who wagered on Buffalo lost.
<br>
The actual final score of the game was Miami 27, Buffalo 17. That’s a total of 44 points. The posted total line was 43. So, bettors who wagered on “Over the Total” won their bets since 44 is over, or higher than, 43. Bettors who wagered “Under the Total” lost their wagers.
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Those are the basics. I hope the examples above helped those of you who are new to the world of NFL football betting. You’re now ready to begin your own <i>NFL football betting</i>. Good luck.




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